Analysis | The long list of investigations targeting Donald Trump

Analysis | The long list of investigations that target Donald Trump

The search at Donald Trump's Florida hideout is just one of the latest events that affect whipping the former tenant of the White House.

To obtain a search warrant, the FBI had to convince a judge that there was probable cause that a crime had been committed , and that agents could find evidence at Mar-a-Lago.

Several investigations are underway in the United States against the loser of the 2020 presidential election who continues, almost two years later, to raise money by evoking his false theory of the stolen election, “the Big Lie” (the big lie).

The seizure of classified documents that Donald Trump would have kept in his Mar-a-Lago residence could cause him serious headaches if it is shown that he wanted to hide or destroy official documents. Section 2071, Article 18 of the United States Code provides penalties for anyone who willfully conceals or destroys official documents.

, fines, years in prison and, potentially, ineligibility for official office…like the presidency of the United States, for example. So, goodbye 2024, for Mr. Trump?

Trump diehard supporters defend him, even in legal turmoil.

Not so fast: This kind of process is often long and laborious, and the chances of it succeeding are difficult to assess. Add a dash of constitutional debate and you have a real headache for those who want to sue.

Going back in time, Hillary Clinton faced the same Section 18 barrage for destroying emails she sent as Secretary of State in the Obama administration. Except that, in fact, there is nothing in the Constitution which mentions the need, in order to run for the presidency, to be white as snow and therefore not to have, for example, destroyed a classified document.< /p>

This is probably the most talked about survey in recent weeks. Organized by Congress, it seeks to hold accountable those who staged the assault on Capitol Hill in an attempt to prevent members of Congress from certifying Joe Biden's election.

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Led among others by Liz Cheney, a Republican, this commission says it has rather convincing evidence that Donald Trump is at the center of an electoral fraud conspiracy which ultimately led to the events of January 6, 2021. He knew that this could turn into a disaster. violence, but did nothing, think the members of the commission.

Republican Liz Cheney leads the commission congressional inquiry that says it has pretty compelling evidence that Donald Trump is at the center of a voter fraud plot that ultimately led to the insurrection on Capitol Hill.

The limit of this commission: it cannot file federal felony charges against Donald Trump. But she can send her recommendations to the Department of Justice and to the Attorney General of the United States, Merrick Garland, who is also investigating the same events.

By his actions, Mr. Trump would likely have violated federal law by attempting to block or obstructing the certification of the official election results. The use of trickery or deception in this regard is a criminal act.

There are currently no charges filed against the ex-president by the x27;Merrick Garland team. The department has a policy of not indicting a serving president, but nothing prevents it from doing so against a former president.

Brad Raffensperger, the Secretary of State of Georgia, was pressured by Donald Trump to falsify the results of the presidential election in this southern state.

Did Donald Trump try to falsify the election results in Georgia? He called Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger, a Republican, on January 2, 2021, asking him to find 11,780 votes. A request which, if granted, would have allowed him to win this pivotal state.

In this case, Mr. Trump may have violated several laws: conspiracy to commit voter fraud, criminal solicitation and, of course, willful interference in the state's election process.

In these cases, investigators in the Manhattan district attorney's office suspect malfeasance in the circle of leaders of the Trump Organization, which manages luxury real estate. Misleading valuation of assets to reduce property taxes or to obtain bank loans at preferential rates… suspicions are mounting, but have still not led to concrete formal charges.

The Trump Organization, which manages real estate assets, is also the target of investigations.

For her part, a New York State prosecutor is watching the grain and combing through the documents of the same organization to verify whether certain building values ​​have also been inflated for tax purposes.

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The former president failed on Tuesday in the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. His tax returns will have to be turned over to the House Ways and Means Committee, as a lower court had ruled.

It was Democrat Richard Neal who asked, in 2019, to obtain Donald Trump's statements over a six-year period. The committee could vote to release the documents or a summary of their findings to the 435 members of the House, thus making the information available to the public in some way.

Mr. Trump could appeal the ruling, although it's unclear whether the U.S. Supreme Court will choose to consider the case, as it has reviewed similar cases in the past.

Faced with these many pans that seem to follow him inexorably, Donald Trump so far deserves, in the eyes of some, the qualifier of “Teflon President”.

But this accumulation of investigations still risks tarnishing his reputation with Republican and independent supporters who are beginning to have doubts. They are necessarily less blinded by the personality venerated for life and death by the diehards, those who are part of his bubble MAGA (allusion to his famous slogan Make America Great Again). p>

How much will this handicap his political future? This is one of the many questions that, for now, remain unanswered.

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