< p class="article__like-h2">Ukraine would pay a significant price if Russian troops could easily take Bakhmut. This is reported by analysts from the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Analysts believe that although Bakhmut itself has neither operational nor strategic significance, its defense is strategically sound operation.
«The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is probably a strategically sound operation, despite its costs to Ukraine. If Russian troops took it relatively quickly and with little bloodshed, they might hope to expand operations in such a way that Ukraine could hastily build defensive positions on less favorable terrain,” the ISW noted.
Experts clarified that earlier the Ukrainian Defense Forces used a similar tactic of gradually depleting Russian troops in Lysichansk. There, as well as in Bakhmut, the invaders were forced to achieve minor tactical successes at the cost of heavy losses of personnel and equipment.
As a result, a controlled withdrawal of Ukrainians from this area took place, however, the capture of Lisichansk and the administrative border of the Lugansk region quickly turned out to be operationally insignificant for Russian troops, and offensive operations of exhausted troops stalled in the summer and autumn of 2022.
«The Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is likely to contribute to a similar [to the situation in Lysychansk] outcome – Russian forces have been moving forces and equipment to the area since May 2022 and have not yet made any significant operational successes that seriously threaten Ukrainian defense of this area. ISW continues to assess that Ukrainian forces are effectively holding back Russian troops, equipment and a common operations center at Bakhmut, thereby hindering Russia's ability to continue its offensive elsewhere,” the analysts added.
- < li>According to media reports, German intelligence is concerned about the “three-figure losses” of Ukraine in the battles for Bakhmut.