ISW: The occupiers are unlikely to be able to resist the partisan movement of Ukraine

ISW: Occupiers are unlikely to be able to resist Ukraine's partisan movement

Effective Ukrainian guerrilla attacks force the Russian leadership to divert resources from operations at the front to ensure the security of rear areas. This is reported by the American Institute for the Study of War.

Analysts note that poor Russian operational security has made Ukrainian guerrilla attacks possible, while the growing shortage of manpower in Russia impairs the ability of the occupiers to effectively defend Russian rear areas from guerrilla attacks and at the same time defend against Ukrainian counteroffensives.

The ISW believes that so far the Kremlin has not been able to effectively resist the Ukrainian organized partisan movement and is unlikely to be able to do so. Giving the occupiers priority over the Kherson region, where, according to Ukrainian intelligence, about 40,000 Russian troops are concentrated, led to the degradation of the Russian security forces in Zaporozhye (a noticeable center of partisan activity), Donetsk and Lugansk regions.

At the same time, it was noted that guerrilla attacks continue in the Russian-occupied Kherson and Zaporozhye regions even after Russia annexed these regions on 30 September, indicating the continued failure of Russian forces to secure the occupied territory.

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