In the near future, the overall pace of military operations will increase, this may happen within a few weeks. This is reported by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).
Analysts note that the overall pace of operations along the front lines has slowed in recent days due to deteriorating weather conditions, but is likely to pick up over the next few weeks as temperatures drop and the ground freezes across the theater.
Ukrainian and Russian reports from critical sectors of the front in eastern and southern Ukraine, including Svatovo, Bakhmut and Vuhledar, indicate that operations on both sides are being hampered by heavy marshes as a result of the rains.
A predicted drop in temperatures across Ukraine over the next week is likely to freeze the ground and accelerate the pace of hostilities as both sides increase mobility, experts say.
It is not known whether either side is actively prepared to resumption of major offensive or counter-offensive operations at this time, but the meteorological factors that prevented such operations will begin to weaken.
At the same time, Russian officials continue efforts to deport children to Russia under the guise of medical rehabilitation and adoption programs.< /p>
The Ukrainian Resistance Center reported on November 26 that the Russian occupation administration in the Luhansk region conducted medical examinations of 15,000 children aged two to 17 and found that 70% of the children (10,500) needed «special medical care» , which requires their export to Russia for «treatment».
At the same time, the institute says that the center’s report is consistent with the preliminary assessment of ISW that Russian officials are conducting a targeted campaign to depopulate occupied Ukrainian territories.
According to analysts, Russian officials may be trying to balance the influence of the group's financier «Wagner» Yevgeny Prigozhin due to the promotion of other parallel military structures.
In particular, Russian officials have appointed pro-Kremlin businessman Armen Sarkisyan, who is associated with Viktor Yanukovych, as the new administrator of prisons in the Russian-occupied territories of Ukraine, and Sarkisyan intends to use this role to create a new & #171;Private Military Company».
According to ISW, Russian officials may further facilitate Kadyrov's existing parallel military structures and Sargsyan's efforts to create a private military company to counter Prigozhin's growing influence.
Analysts also speculate that Russian forces are likely using Kh-55 inert cruise missiles in their massive campaign of missile strikes against Ukraine's critical infrastructure, further highlighting the Russian military's depletion of precision-guided weapons.