Everything that happens on the territory of Belarus is more informational work to destabilize Ukraine. There is no risk of a re-offensive from there yet. About this «RBC-Ukraine» Mikhail Podolyak, adviser to the head of the Presidential Office, said.
According to him, the Kremlin continues to put pressure on Minsk.
«It is extremely beneficial for Russia to open a ground operation through Belarus on the territory Ukraine, in order to withdraw a certain number of our military personnel from key areas in order to redistribute the loading to their sectors of the front and thus increase the chances of their counteroffensive», — explained Podolyak.
First of all, we are talking about the Donetsk and Luhansk directions. To do this, the Russian Federation formed the so-called allied group in Belarus and actually took control of the Belarusian army. According to Podolyak, the Russians are gradually transferring mobilized people to the territory of Belarus. Currently, there are already about 12-15 thousand Russians there.
«Thirdly, they totally control the power vertical of Belarus, including the local MTR, special forces. In addition, they constantly put political pressure on Lukashenka, proving to him that if Russia loses, then he will sit on the bench along with representatives of the Russian political elite», — the official added.
As Podolyak said, Ukrainian intelligence is actively working out everything that happens on the territory of Belarus.
«We see that they are constantly rotating troops, that is, they are transferring them from one training ground to another, including to the borders of Ukraine. But we see that they are transferring what amount of equipment. Russia sent to Belarus, first of all, anti-missile and anti-aircraft equipment. This is not offensive equipment, these are not tanks, not armored personnel carriers & # 187;, & # 8212; emphasizes the adviser to the head of the OP.
He also reassured the Ukrainians, because to say that «a shock fist can be formed in Belarus, as the Russians who fight in the classical Soviet methodology like it – no there are no grounds».
«Therefore, we will monitor everything that happens in Belarus, but today we need to take it easy, because this is more information work to destabilize Ukraine. But there is one caveat — they don’t understand Ukraine so much that they don’t destabilize us, but rather mobilize us», summed up Podolyak.
- ISW analysts believe that Belarus is unlikely to invade Ukraine due to internal dynamics in the country.
- On behalf of Lukashenka, on December 13, Belarus began a sudden check of the combat readiness of the army and is moving part of the equipment closer to the border with Ukraine.