The appointment of Chief of the General Staff of the RF Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov as commander of the joint grouping of forces in Ukraine indicates that Russia is raising the stakes in the war. This was stated by NSDC Secretary Oleksiy Danilov on the air of the telethon.
«Certain personnel processes are now taking place in Russia. Since yesterday, there have been internal disputes between these armies, representatives of Prigozhin and Kadyrov are being eliminated, I mean Surovikin. Certain processes are taking place there, and this is only the beginning. The situation is connected with the fact that they are completing the so-called katechon state, which should be the ultimate truth, and only they know how to deal with the evil that they constantly talk about & # 187;, & # 8212; Danilov explained.
He noted that such personnel changes indicate an internal conflict between the Russian security forces and the military. Over time, such contradictions can develop into a confrontation between the main leaders.
«Do not forget that Gerasimov is the head of the General Staff, this is an increase in the stakes in this war. The next two or three months will be decisive. And the second thing is the use of Kadyrov and Prigogine. After they were no longer needed, they were moved, and no one will ask them. Internal disputes will only escalate and the question is when within the framework of the Garden Ring will begin a showdown with the use of weapons and armored personnel carriers & # 187;, & # 8212; Danilov said.
In his opinion, the situation in the Russian Federation is rather shaky, and the struggle for power could begin if Russian President Vladimir Putin gives in.
& #171;Because there are currently 3.5 armies — the army of Kadyrov, the army of Prigozhin, separately the army of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which do not respect either Kadyrov or Prigozhin, and separately now the power structures are trying to form another army. A war for power will begin in Russia, you see the state of Putin's health, the man is very sick. As soon as it weakens, a showdown will begin», — summed up the secretary of the National Security and Defense Council.
- Gerasimov became the new commander of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Surovikin was demoted.
- The ISW believes that Surovikin's demotion is a blow to Prigozhin and the security forces.