The Armed Forces of Ukraine are talking about the equipment of the occupier and soldiers in Ukrainian uniforms on the border with Belarus. What do ISW and “Gayun” think about it?
On Thursday, February 23, Ukrainian intelligence recorded the movement of columns of unmarked military equipment towards the border with the Chernihiv region. This was reported by OK «North».
«The invaders are preparing possible provocations for the anniversary of the full-scale offensive, most likely, the goal is to accuse the Ukrainian defenders of violating the territorial integrity. This is evidenced by intelligence data, which recorded the movement of columns of military equipment in the area of the border with the Chernihiv region without signs of recognition and was alive dressed in a pixel similar to the uniform of the Armed Forces of Ukraine & # 187;, & # 8212; the message said.
Subsequently, the military clarified that this was only a warning about possible provocations by the enemy, and not about some actions that had taken place.
In turn, the American Institute for the Study of War reported that Russia is creating conditions for provocations on the border with the Chernihiv region and in Moldova.
«The Kremlin may be preparing false attacks to force Belarus into war after Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko's February 16 statement that Belarus would enter the war only if attacked by Ukraine,” the report said.
In their message, analysts referred to the above warning of the Ukrainian military.
Commenting on these statements, the monitoring group «Belarusian Gayun» emphasizes that the conclusions of ISW were made on the basis of fake information, since on February 22 in the Gomel region there were no recorded any movements of the Russian military, which the Ukrainian command and the American Institute spoke about.
&# 171; This calls into question not only the competence of the analytical center as a whole, which over the past year has become massively quoted in the Ukrainian and Belarusian media in the context of the war in Ukraine, but also the forecasts voiced by it earlier. By the way, the conclusions of ISW experts about the “possible provocation” have already been disseminated by many Belarusian media. In general, the narrative about the desire of the Russian Federation to involve the Armed Forces of the Republic of Belarus in the war is very beneficial for the regime in Belarus, because. this creates the appearance that allegedly only thanks to Lukashenka's “personal courage” the Belarusian army has not yet entered the war»,— notes «Belarusian Gayun».